I won’t for a minute profess to having any special insights about what will become the most prolific technology in 2010 or what will end-up failing miserably. What I can say is I’m watching a few companies and technologies in 2010, and I will be happy to share some things to watch out for with you.
- Microsoft’s Project Natal - Will probably ship near the end of 2010. While it makes some lofty assertions about how it will change the face of gaming forever, whether it actually works well remains to be seen (and is the topic of much discussion already on the internet). Still, it does have serious implications to the future of home computing and Human Computer Interaction (HCI). A great example of this is Milo and Claire.
- Tablets – I think the tablet form factor is going to really explode in 2010, as wireless networking continues to improve with 802.11n and more and more Operating Systems and applications considering mobility as a key vector. In particular, keep tabs on the JooJoo (Picture embedded below). Its sales performance could impact whether the widely-speculated Microsoft and Apple tablets actually get launched in the coming year.
- Microsoft Office 2010 – If you’re not already using Office 2007, might as well hold-off on that upgrade because Office 2010 is already in beta, and we can safely assume its launch in the sometime in the next twelve months. While Office 2007 introduced a new (and vastly improved) UI, Office 2010 is set to build on the Ribbon functionality, while also providing Microsoft Office Web Applications for both home and business users.
- Aggregation - This point is highly speculative, but I just don’t think the killer app is out there yet for aggregating and managing social media for end users (or corporations for that matter). There are many aggregation services, but I don’t see one that offers a scalable and tailored UX, depending on your social media objectives. I think 2010 is the year this service will materialize.
2009 was a crazy year in technology with an explosion in mobility and mobile applications; 3 major OS’ released – Windows 7, Snow Leopard and Chrome OS; and an immense proliferation of cloud services for both consumers and the enterprise. There will be numerous surprises I’m sure in 2010, and you can count on me to blog about them. Any of your own predictions? Leave a comment, and let’s start a conversation.